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Price (log)
Risk Score
Average Risk — for crypto, this band has historically returned 50.6% over the next year (69% of the time positive), across 4,347 observations. Forward-return windows overlap, so treat these medians as indicative, not precise.
| Risk Score | Samples | Median 90d | Median 365d | Win 365d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Low Risk | 121 | 17.0% | 81.0% | 100% |
Below Average Risk | 588 | 10.2% | 52.6% | 78% |
Average Risk | 662 | 8.2% | 34.1% | 63% |
Elevated Risk | 947 | -11.1% | -33.3% | 38% |
High Risk | 373 | -24.1% | -43.3% | 5% |
Test how buying this asset below a chosen risk score would have played out.
Readings below score 20 → 81.0% median 365-day return · 100% positive · 121 entries
Green bands mark when the score was below your threshold. Overlapping forward windows and a survivor-only universe — past performance isn't a guarantee.