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Price (log)
Risk Score
High Risk — for ETFs & indices, this band has historically returned 6.6% over the next year (66% of the time positive), across 3,603 observations. Outside crypto this score identifies strong entries far more reliably than exits. Forward-return windows overlap, so treat these medians as indicative, not precise.
| Risk Score | Samples | Median 90d | Median 365d | Win 365d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Low Risk | 418 | 7.3% | 25.3% | 94% |
Below Average Risk | 555 | 1.4% | 5.3% | 80% |
Average Risk | 586 | 2.5% | 6.5% | 73% |
Elevated Risk | 687 | 1.6% | 8.0% | 71% |
High Risk | 444 | 2.0% | 6.2% | 65% |
Test how buying this asset below a chosen risk score would have played out.
Readings below score 20 → 25.3% median 365-day return · 94% positive · 418 entries
Green bands mark when the score was below your threshold. Overlapping forward windows and a survivor-only universe — past performance isn't a guarantee.