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For this asset, a low score has historically tracked strong forward returns well. Based on 11.5 years of scored history (~11 independent yearly observations); forward-return windows overlap heavily, so this is indicative, not precise.
Price (log)
Risk Score
Caution / Trim — for ETFs & indices, this band has historically returned 10.1% over the next year (75% of the time positive), across 7,416 observations. Forward-return windows overlap, so treat these medians as indicative, not precise.
| Risk Score | Samples | Median 90d | Median 365d | Win 365d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Strong Accumulate | 357 | 7.7% | 23.1% | 100% |
Accumulate | 524 | 4.8% | 17.0% | 89% |
Neutral / Hold | 520 | 4.3% | 10.4% | 81% |
Caution / Trim | 833 | 3.7% | 13.5% | 82% |
Distribute / High Risk | 425 | 2.3% | 11.7% | 64% |
Test how buying this asset below a chosen risk score would have played out.
Buying below score 20 (Strong Accumulate) has historically returned 23.1% median at 1 year · 100% positive.