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Price (log)
Risk Score
Below Average Risk — for crypto, this band has historically returned 65.9% over the next year (71% of the time positive), across 3,192 observations. Forward-return windows overlap, so treat these medians as indicative, not precise.
| Risk Score | Samples | Median 90d | Median 365d | Win 365d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Low Risk | 108 | 28.5% | 918.7% | 100% |
Below Average Risk | 659 | -10.6% | -26.1% | 48% |
Average Risk | 616 | 31.3% | 16.6% | 60% |
Elevated Risk | 450 | -7.3% | -3.1% | 47% |
High Risk | 21 | -11.1% | -40.7% | 10% |
Test how buying this asset below a chosen risk score would have played out.
Readings below score 20 → 918.7% median 365-day return · 100% positive · 108 entries
Green bands mark when the score was below your threshold. Overlapping forward windows and a survivor-only universe — past performance isn't a guarantee.