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For this asset, a low score has historically tracked strong forward returns well. Based on 11.5 years of scored history (~11 independent yearly observations); forward-return windows overlap heavily, so this is indicative, not precise.
Price (log)
Risk Score
Caution / Trim — for ETFs & indices, this band has historically returned 10.1% over the next year (75% of the time positive), across 7,416 observations. Forward-return windows overlap, so treat these medians as indicative, not precise.
| Risk Score | Samples | Median 90d | Median 365d | Win 365d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Strong Accumulate | 612 | 5.7% | 15.9% | 97% |
Accumulate | 605 | 1.1% | 4.6% | 79% |
Neutral / Hold | 535 | 2.5% | 4.6% | 66% |
Caution / Trim | 572 | 1.2% | 6.7% | 64% |
Distribute / High Risk | 335 | 0.9% | 4.0% | 58% |
Test how buying this asset below a chosen risk score would have played out.
Buying below score 20 (Strong Accumulate) has historically returned 15.9% median at 1 year · 97% positive.