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For this asset, a low score has historically tracked strong forward returns well. Based on 11.5 years of scored history (~11 independent yearly observations); forward-return windows overlap heavily, so this is indicative, not precise.
Price (log)
Risk Score
Distribute / High Risk — for ETFs & indices, this band has historically returned 6.4% over the next year (65% of the time positive), across 3,545 observations. Outside crypto this score identifies strong entries far more reliably than exits. Forward-return windows overlap, so treat these medians as indicative, not precise.
| Risk Score | Samples | Median 90d | Median 365d | Win 365d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Strong Accumulate | 505 | 9.2% | 18.4% | 91% |
Accumulate | 754 | 0.6% | 5.5% | 63% |
Neutral / Hold | 546 | 0.8% | 6.6% | 66% |
Caution / Trim | 681 | 2.1% | 2.0% | 53% |
Distribute / High Risk | 173 | 2.5% | -5.7% | 49% |
Test how buying this asset below a chosen risk score would have played out.
Buying below score 20 (Strong Accumulate) has historically returned 18.4% median at 1 year · 91% positive.