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For this asset, a low score has historically tracked strong forward returns well. Based on 11.5 years of scored history (~11 independent yearly observations); forward-return windows overlap heavily, so this is indicative, not precise.
Price (log)
Risk Score
Neutral / Hold — for ETFs & indices, this band has historically returned 10.0% over the next year (79% of the time positive), across 5,512 observations. Forward-return windows overlap, so treat these medians as indicative, not precise.
| Risk Score | Samples | Median 90d | Median 365d | Win 365d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Strong Accumulate | 371 | 7.8% | 33.3% | 94% |
Accumulate | 567 | 7.7% | 26.0% | 88% |
Neutral / Hold | 587 | 6.2% | 19.8% | 88% |
Caution / Trim | 801 | 3.9% | 19.5% | 83% |
Distribute / High Risk | 333 | 2.5% | 20.3% | 72% |
Test how buying this asset below a chosen risk score would have played out.
Buying below score 20 (Strong Accumulate) has historically returned 33.3% median at 1 year · 94% positive.