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For this asset there is little historical relationship between the score and forward returns — treat the score as low-confidence. Based on 11.5 years of scored history (~11 independent yearly observations); forward-return windows overlap heavily, so this is indicative, not precise.
Price (log)
Risk Score
Distribute / High Risk — for individual stocks, this band has historically returned 12.6% over the next year (67% of the time positive), across 17,764 observations. Outside crypto this score identifies strong entries far more reliably than exits. Forward-return windows overlap, so treat these medians as indicative, not precise.
| Risk Score | Samples | Median 90d | Median 365d | Win 365d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Strong Accumulate | 305 | 5.9% | 13.8% | 70% |
Accumulate | 618 | 0.9% | 3.7% | 53% |
Neutral / Hold | 529 | 0.5% | 11.1% | 74% |
Caution / Trim | 682 | 3.4% | 3.2% | 58% |
Distribute / High Risk | 525 | 0.1% | 4.4% | 59% |
Test how buying this asset below a chosen risk score would have played out.
Buying below score 20 (Strong Accumulate) has historically returned 13.8% median at 1 year · 70% positive.