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MSFT · Stock
Each component is a percentile of this asset against its own history.
Valuation against 74 S&P 500 Information Technology peers, as of Oct 31, 2026.
Price (log)
Averages and Bollinger bands describe where the price has been. They are not a forecast.
Risk score
A count of six technical indicator states on daily closes. It describes the current state of the chart. It is not a forecast, not advice, and unlike the risk score it has no calibration.
What historically came next.
Below Average Risk — for individual stocks, this band has historically returned 16.9% over the next year (74% of the time positive), across 29,529 observations. Forward-return windows overlap, so treat these medians as indicative, not precise.
| Band | Samples | Median 90d | Median 365d | Win 365d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Low Risk | 495 | 4.4% | 26.0% | 83% |
Below Average Risk | 633 | 7.8% | 25.7% | 83% |
Average Risk | 562 | 7.6% | 27.5% | 86% |
Elevated Risk |
Test how buying this asset below a chosen risk score would have played out.
Readings below score 20 → 26.0% median 365-day return · 83% positive · 495 entries
Green bands mark when the score was below your threshold. Overlapping forward windows and a survivor-only universe — past performance isn't a guarantee.
† EV/EBITDA and FCF Yield are pinned to the last data pull and do not update with today's price, unlike Forward P/E, P/S and P/B, which recompute against every close.
A state is held until the value moves back past its threshold by a small margin, so a value can sit just inside a band while its state has not changed yet.
| 699 |
| 6.5% |
| 31.2% |
| 93% |
High Risk | 335 | 1.9% | 27.2% | 76% |