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For this asset, the score has generally tracked forward returns. Based on 11.5 years of scored history (~11 independent yearly observations); forward-return windows overlap heavily, so this is indicative, not precise.
Price (log)
Risk Score
Distribute / High Risk — for individual stocks, this band has historically returned 12.6% over the next year (67% of the time positive), across 17,764 observations. Outside crypto this score identifies strong entries far more reliably than exits. Forward-return windows overlap, so treat these medians as indicative, not precise.
| Risk Score | Samples | Median 90d | Median 365d | Win 365d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Strong Accumulate | 191 | 19.1% | 62.0% | 98% |
Accumulate | 635 | 1.8% | 17.6% | 76% |
Neutral / Hold | 783 | 3.3% | 6.3% | 64% |
Caution / Trim | 766 | 6.5% | 21.9% | 63% |
Distribute / High Risk | 284 | 6.6% | -0.1% | 50% |
Test how buying this asset below a chosen risk score would have played out.
Buying below score 20 (Strong Accumulate) has historically returned 62.0% median at 1 year · 98% positive.