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MRK · Stock
Each component is a percentile of this asset against its own history.
Valuation against 59 S&P 500 Health Care peers, as of Oct 31, 2026.
Price (log)
Averages and Bollinger bands describe where the price has been. They are not a forecast.
Risk score
A count of six technical indicator states on daily closes. It describes the current state of the chart. It is not a forecast, not advice, and unlike the risk score it has no calibration.
What historically came next.
High Risk — for individual stocks, this band has historically returned 12.0% over the next year (67% of the time positive), across 19,674 observations. Outside crypto this score identifies strong entries far more reliably than exits. Forward-return windows overlap, so treat these medians as indicative, not precise.
| Band | Samples | Median 90d | Median 365d | Win 365d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Low Risk | 673 | 3.2% | 19.1% | 86% |
Below Average Risk | 472 | 2.9% | 14.6% | 67% |
Average Risk | 501 | 1.4% | 6.5% | 60% |
Elevated Risk |
Test how buying this asset below a chosen risk score would have played out.
Readings below score 20 → 19.1% median 365-day return · 86% positive · 673 entries
Green bands mark when the score was below your threshold. Overlapping forward windows and a survivor-only universe — past performance isn't a guarantee.
† EV/EBITDA and FCF Yield are pinned to the last data pull and do not update with today's price, unlike Forward P/E, P/S and P/B, which recompute against every close.
A state is held until the value moves back past its threshold by a small margin, so a value can sit just inside a band while its state has not changed yet.
| 568 |
| 2.5% |
| 6.0% |
| 59% |
High Risk | 510 | 0.5% | -0.0% | 50% |