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For this asset, the score has generally tracked forward returns. Based on 11.5 years of scored history (~11 independent yearly observations); forward-return windows overlap heavily, so this is indicative, not precise.
Price (log)
Risk Score
Neutral / Hold — for ETFs & indices, this band has historically returned 10.0% over the next year (79% of the time positive), across 5,512 observations. Forward-return windows overlap, so treat these medians as indicative, not precise.
| Risk Score | Samples | Median 90d | Median 365d | Win 365d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Strong Accumulate | 409 | 8.1% | 28.6% | 90% |
Accumulate | 560 | 6.4% | 26.0% | 84% |
Neutral / Hold | 558 | 6.1% | 15.9% | 82% |
Caution / Trim | 822 | 3.9% | 19.1% | 78% |
Distribute / High Risk | 310 | 3.0% | 19.6% | 71% |
Test how buying this asset below a chosen risk score would have played out.
Buying below score 20 (Strong Accumulate) has historically returned 28.6% median at 1 year · 90% positive.