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CAT · Stock
Each component is a percentile of this asset against its own history.
Valuation against 83 S&P 500 Industrials peers, as of Oct 31, 2026.
Price (log)
Averages and Bollinger bands describe where the price has been. They are not a forecast.
Risk score
A count of six technical indicator states on daily closes. It describes the current state of the chart. It is not a forecast, not advice, and unlike the risk score it has no calibration.
What historically came next.
Below Average Risk — for individual stocks, this band has historically returned 16.9% over the next year (74% of the time positive), across 29,529 observations. Forward-return windows overlap, so treat these medians as indicative, not precise.
| Band | Samples | Median 90d | Median 365d | Win 365d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Low Risk | 241 | 18.0% | 63.7% | 95% |
Below Average Risk | 593 | 7.0% | 24.8% | 72% |
Average Risk | 590 | 0.9% | 14.1% | 62% |
Elevated Risk |
Test how buying this asset below a chosen risk score would have played out.
Readings below score 20 → 63.7% median 365-day return · 95% positive · 241 entries
Green bands mark when the score was below your threshold. Overlapping forward windows and a survivor-only universe — past performance isn't a guarantee.
† EV/EBITDA and FCF Yield are pinned to the last data pull and do not update with today's price, unlike Forward P/E, P/S and P/B, which recompute against every close.
A state is held until the value moves back past its threshold by a small margin, so a value can sit just inside a band while its state has not changed yet.
| 879 |
| 7.5% |
| 24.0% |
| 82% |
High Risk | 421 | 3.1% | 12.1% | 59% |