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BNB · Crypto
Each component is a percentile of this asset against its own history.
Price (log)
Averages and Bollinger bands describe where the price has been. They are not a forecast.
Risk score
A count of six technical indicator states on daily closes. It describes the current state of the chart. It is not a forecast, not advice, and unlike the risk score it has no calibration.
What historically came next.
Below Average Risk — for crypto, this band has historically returned 65.9% over the next year (71% of the time positive), across 3,192 observations. Forward-return windows overlap, so treat these medians as indicative, not precise.
| Band | Samples | Median 90d | Median 365d | Win 365d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Low Risk | 12 | 30.0% | 185.0% | 100% |
Below Average Risk | 769 | 15.0% | 133.5% | 94% |
Average Risk | 1069 | 8.4% | 55.6% | 71% |
Elevated Risk |
Test how buying this asset below a chosen risk score would have played out.
Readings below score 20 → 185.0% median 365-day return · 100% positive · 12 entries
Green bands mark when the score was below your threshold. Overlapping forward windows and a survivor-only universe — past performance isn't a guarantee.
A state is held until the value moves back past its threshold by a small margin, so a value can sit just inside a band while its state has not changed yet.
| 899 |
| -1.6% |
| -11.8% |
| 42% |
High Risk | 166 | -21.0% | -40.8% | 7% |