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Price (log)
Risk Score
Low Risk — for individual stocks, this band has historically returned 24.2% over the next year (79% of the time positive), across 22,030 observations. Forward-return windows overlap, so treat these medians as indicative, not precise.
| Risk Score | Samples | Median 90d | Median 365d | Win 365d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Low Risk | 337 | 7.8% | 8.7% | 59% |
Below Average Risk | 502 | 0.5% | 2.2% | 55% |
Average Risk | 694 | -1.5% | -3.1% | 43% |
Elevated Risk | 743 | 0.3% | -5.7% | 40% |
High Risk | 444 | -3.1% | -8.4% | 32% |
Test how buying this asset below a chosen risk score would have played out.
Readings below score 20 → 8.7% median 365-day return · 59% positive · 336 entries
Green bands mark when the score was below your threshold. Overlapping forward windows and a survivor-only universe — past performance isn't a guarantee.