AMZN · Stock
Each component is a percentile of this asset against its own history.
Valuation against 47 S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary peers, as of Oct 31, 2026.
† EV/EBITDA and FCF Yield are pinned to the last data pull and do not update with today's price, unlike Forward P/E, P/S and P/B, which recompute against every close.
Price (log)
Averages and Bollinger bands describe where the price has been. They are not a forecast.
Risk score
A count of six technical indicator states on daily closes. It describes the current state of the chart. It is not a forecast, not advice, and unlike the risk score it has no calibration.
A state is held until the value moves back past its threshold by a small margin, so a value can sit just inside a band while its state has not changed yet.
What historically came next.
Below Average Risk — for individual stocks, this band has historically returned 16.9% over the next year (74% of the time positive), across 29,529 observations. Forward-return windows overlap, so treat these medians as indicative, not precise.
| Band | Samples | Median 90d | Median 365d | Win 365d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Low Risk | 730 | 6.8% | 41.5% | 75% |
Below Average Risk | 746 | 11.0% | 38.0% | 86% |
Average Risk | 690 | 4.0% | 19.7% | 88% |
Elevated Risk | 423 | 4.2% | 19.3% | 87% |
High Risk | 135 | 4.8% | 11.5% | 80% |
Test how buying this asset below a chosen risk score would have played out.
Readings below score 20 → 41.5% median 365-day return · 75% positive · 730 entries
Green bands mark when the score was below your threshold. Overlapping forward windows and a survivor-only universe — past performance isn't a guarantee.