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AAPL · Stock
Each component is a percentile of this asset against its own history.
Valuation against 74 S&P 500 Information Technology peers, as of Oct 31, 2026.
Price (log)
Averages and Bollinger bands describe where the price has been. They are not a forecast.
Risk score
A count of six technical indicator states on daily closes. It describes the current state of the chart. It is not a forecast, not advice, and unlike the risk score it has no calibration.
What historically came next.
Average Risk — for individual stocks, this band has historically returned 13.2% over the next year (71% of the time positive), across 28,818 observations. Forward-return windows overlap, so treat these medians as indicative, not precise.
| Band | Samples | Median 90d | Median 365d | Win 365d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Low Risk | 365 | 14.7% | 34.2% | 96% |
Below Average Risk | 589 | 4.3% | 19.6% | 84% |
Average Risk | 698 | 4.3% | 13.9% | 76% |
Elevated Risk |
Test how buying this asset below a chosen risk score would have played out.
Readings below score 20 → 34.2% median 365-day return · 96% positive · 365 entries
Green bands mark when the score was below your threshold. Overlapping forward windows and a survivor-only universe — past performance isn't a guarantee.
† EV/EBITDA and FCF Yield are pinned to the last data pull and do not update with today's price, unlike Forward P/E, P/S and P/B, which recompute against every close.
A state is held until the value moves back past its threshold by a small margin, so a value can sit just inside a band while its state has not changed yet.
| 779 |
| 5.4% |
| 27.3% |
| 80% |
High Risk | 293 | 2.2% | 27.4% | 77% |